The Unseen Forces Behind the Current Cryptocurrency Market Movements

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date 26-03-03 06:00

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The cryptocurrency market is experiencing unusual movements. Unlike in 2018 and 2021, this recent decline in coin prices is not originating from the United States. Notably, coins associated with Donald Trump have seen more significant drops.

This phenomenon, dubbed the Curse of Trump, raises questions as to why it is occurring. Analyzing the price trends of cryptocurrencies may provide some clues. A year ago, President Trump proclaimed the Kingdom of Coins theory, leading to bullish optimism that Bitcoin prices would exceed $5 million. Following the passage of the Genius Act last July, there was even a bullish narrative suggesting that altcoins would become more promising than Bitcoin.

The illusion of boundless coin euphoria began to shatter during the Fourth Plenary Session held in October last year. As the Chinese Communist Party celebrated its 100th anniversary in 2021, the goal of ensuring a prosperous life for all, known as the Xiaokang objective, seemed increasingly unattainable. This failure led to rumors regarding President Xi Jinpings potential downfall. In July of last year, there were speculations about the military, led by Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, orchestrating a coup. However, through the Beidaihe Conference last summer, Xi managed to create a dramatic turnaround. Just two months later, during the Fourth Plenary Session, he solidified his long-term rule. Recently, he has even removed his greatest rival, Zhang Youxia, establishing a one-man dictatorship.

Xi Jinping has introduced a new theory advocating for China as a financial superpower. Since taking office in 2012, he has pursued the Pax Sinica ambition by promoting the Belt and Road Initiative and the internationalization of the yuan. However, the former has faced strong resistance, focusing too much on securing overseas resources and port acquisitions, leading to the rise of a secondary dependence theory. The latter has also failed to yield significant results, as it concentrated solely on increasing the proportion of current account settlements.

The Financial Superpower theory represents the first phase of Xis broader Pax Sinica strategy, aiming to position China as a dominant player in the global financial landscape. However, the implications of these developments for the cryptocurrency market remain to be seen, especially as investors react to the shifting political and economic dynamics at play.
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